Week 13 Game of the Week: Indiana vs Ohio State

Author: Max McClean

Week 13 Game of the Week: Indiana vs. Ohio State- Indiana’s Cinderella Story Faces Its Toughest Test Yet:

With the College Football Playoff starting to take shape, Week 13 of the season will see three games between ranked opponents. No. 5 Indiana will meet No. 2 Ohio State in another top-five Big Ten showdown involving the Buckeyes. Ohio State enters as a double-digit favourite (-13.5) begging the question, can Indiana coach Curt Cignetti keep this unexpected season alive and reverse the curse?

Indiana announced Saturday it agreed to a new eight-year contract with Cignetti, extending through the 2032 season. With his new contract in hand, Cignetti will have added motivation to snap Indiana's 28-game losing streak to the Buckeyes. This matchup promises to be a defensive showdown, with Ohio State's defence allowing just 9.3 points per game over the last four weeks and the Hoosiers' conceding only 11.3 points per game in the same stretch. With Ohio State already showing one loss on their record this year, another could push them way down or even outside the 12-team College Football Playoff. The Hoosiers on the other hand are facing a ranked team for the first time this season, making the stakes as high as ever in the BIG10 faceoff.

Indiana: (11-0, Second in BIG 10)

It's been a Cinderella story for this Indiana program, which had no expectations at the start of the season. In their 126-year history, they have made just 13 bowl games and have never finished with double-digit victories. Critics note that despite its 10-0 record, Indiana has faced the 106th hardest schedule in all of FBS, the easiest of any team in the AP Top 25. Indiana has not been tested much, their most notable win came against Nebraska or perhaps Michigan, but this game against Ohio State will be their most true test yet.

Kurtis Rourke, an Oakville Ontario native has been a large part of the Hoosiers' success this season. Rourke has boasted an impressive 71.8% completion rate, 2,410 passing yards, and 21 touchdowns, good enough to land in the top five in the BIG10, behind notable names like Dillon Gabriel, Drew Allar, and Will Howard. The fifth-year transfer from Ohio University has to step up to the test against mighty Ohio State. The last time Rourke played against a ranked opponent was on September 10th, 2022, when Ohio University faced Penn State. In that game, Rourke completed 14 of 30 passes for 119 yards in a 46-10 loss. The Hoosiers will need a far better performance from Rourke this Saturday if they want to take down the No.2 team in the nation.

Justice Ellison, a transfer from Wake Forest and Ty Son Lawton, from JMU, have made significant impacts since joining the Hoosiers. Ellison has totalled 120 carries for 686 yards and 9 touchdowns, averaging 5.7 yards per carry. Lawton, meanwhile, has contributed 106 carries for 508 yards and 9 touchdowns, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. These transfers have proven crucial to the Hoosiers' success. This game against Ohio State is why they are on the team, to play in important games like this.

As Indiana prepares to face Ohio State, the stakes are incredibly high. Rourke faces mounting pressure to perform under the spotlight and deliver when it matters most. Justice Ellison and Ty Son Lawton, both transfer stars, will need to elevate their game to another level. The Hoosiers have defied expectations so far, but will this be the moment they finally meet their match?

Ohio State: (9-1, Third in BIG10)

Ohio State is preparing for their third top-5 matchup of the season. After a heart-wrenching 32-31 loss to Oregon in week seven, they bounced back with a 20-13 win over Penn State in their second top-5 battle. Now as they face Indiana, they’ll look to continue their momentum despite injuries and shifting lineup dynamics.

Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson have been pivotal to Ohio State’s rushing attack, with Judkins totalling 723 yards and 13 touchdowns on 121 carries, while Henderson has 662 yards and 14 touchdowns on 89 carries. After a slow stretch in weeks 9 and 10, they’ve regained their form. Meanwhile, Indiana’s defence has been strong, conceding only 11.3 points per game over the last four weeks. This is all setting the stage for an intriguing matchup between Ohio State's run game and the Hoosiers' defence.

The Ohio State offensive line took another blow on Tuesday when starting center Seth McLaughlin tore his Achilles tendon in practice, ending his season. This comes after left tackle Josh Simmons was lost for the year due to a knee injury and his replacement, Zen Michalski, also went down with an injury. The Buckeyes have made multiple shifts to compensate, raising questions about the team's lineups as they prepare for this critical matchup.

With the offensive line facing significant reshuffling and key injuries, Ohio State enters this matchup with questions up front. The rushing attack, which had been a strong point earlier in the season, will need to rise to the occasion without Seth McLaughlin. The Buckeyes are likely a better team than Indiana, but will they be able to maintain their momentum, and adjust to the real challenge in overcoming these obstacles?

Canadian Spotlight:

Kurtis Rourke, an Oakville, Ontario native, has emerged as one of the top quarterbacks in college football, especially after transferring to Indiana for the 2024 season. Under the leadership of Coach Curt Cignetti, Rourke helped lead Indiana to a historic 10-win season, a program first.

His journey wasn't always smooth, as his family recognized early on the talent both Kurtis and his older brother Nathan had, prompting them to move to Alabama for high school. There,  Kurtis struggled with intense training and found himself buried on the depth chart with limited playing time.

After moving back to Canada and joining Holy Trinity High School in Kanata, Kurtis experienced significant growth, both physically and as a player, which boosted his confidence and performance. This period marked a turning point, where he began to develop the skills that would shape his future in college football.

Initially overlooked by major programs due to his Canadian background, Kurtis’ connection to his older brother Nathan, who had a stronger college presence, opened doors at Ohio University. Kurtis’ time in Ohio helped refine his abilities, eventually leading to his successful career at Indiana. These early challenges shaped his resilience, allowing him to flourish and become a standout in the Big Ten.

The Stakes :

The stakes couldn't be higher for both teams in this Week 13 matchup. Ohio State enters the game as a heavy favourite but faces questions regarding its banged-up offensive line, while Indiana, led by the resilient Kurtis Rourke, will be looking to prove that their undefeated record is no fluke. At the end of the day, I think there is simply too much against the Hoosiers when they travel to the Horseshoe this weekend,

Prediction:  Ohio State 33, Indiana 10.

Week 11 NFL Fantasy: Who Should you Start or Sit?

Author: Heath Mckweon, Andrew Bennett

Graphic: Liban Rizvi

Start

Puka Nacua: Despite being out on the IR earlier this season, Puka should be ready to have a big game against the New England Patriots. His chemistry with Stafford has been evident, with Puka getting a good amount of targets along with Kupp. These targets have allowed for Puka to maintain a steady fantasy production. New England is allowing around 209 pass yards per game, but with the duo of Puka and Kupp, it should be hard on the Patriots defense to stop them. Puka has played in four games this season and has had 2 big games and 2 mediocre games, but with this struggling Patriots team, Puka should be in for another big game.

Source: CNN

Sit

Brian Thomas Jr:

Brian Thomas Jr, the rookie out of LSU, should be on your bench for week 11 as the Jaguars go up against the Lions. The Lions have been decent defensively this season but with Mac Jones as the Jaguars starter for week 11, Brian Thomas Jr is in trouble. Mac Jones does not have much arm strength and was only able to put up 7 points for the Jaguars last week against the Vikings. Thomas Jr is questionable as of now for week 11, but if he plays, Thomas Jr should remain on your bench no matter what just because of Mac Jones as his quarterback. Last week Jones kept throwing short as his second longest throw was 18 yards. This is not a good scene for the Jaguars and Thomas Jr.

Start

Bo Nix:

Bo Nix is in his rookie season at quarterback for the Denver Broncos. Surprisingly to some, Nix has been having a solid season. The rookie is averaging 197 pass yards per game with 10 passing touchdowns in ten games. Nix can rush as well as he is averaging 29 rush yards per game with 4 rushing touchdowns. Bo handled the Kansas City defense pretty well last week where he threw for 215 yards, 2 touchdowns and had a 73% completion percentage. Although Nix and the Broncos did not win the game, he showed a lot of promise. Nix has averaged 20.3 fantasy points per game in his last six games, showing signs that he is able to stay consistent and have another good game. Atlanta is averaging 223 pass yards per game, allowing for Nix to throw the ball this week, but also rush when needed as the Falcons ranked 24th in rush

Sit

Pat Freiermuth:

Pat Freiermuth is not your best option for the tight end position in week 11 against the Baltimore Ravens. Freiermuth has been inconsistent this season, with a lack of involvement with the Steelers offense. He is averaging around 30 yards per game, which is not what someone needs as their TE position in fantasy. Even with Wilson joining the team and playing well, Freiermuth will not see as many targets because of George Pickens and Darnell Washington who is the other tight end on the Steelers. In this divisional matchup, there does not seem like there will be much success for Freiermuth against the Ravens defense.

Start

Calvin Ridley:

Calvin Ridley has been a top-performing receiver over the last three weeks, averaging 20.1 points per game in PPR formats. This impressive production coincides with the trade of DeAndre Hopkins three games ago, which has opened up more opportunities for Ridley to shine. Facing a Minnesota secondary ranked third worst in the league against opposing receivers, Ridley is primed for another big game. While his first six games of the season were underwhelming at just 7.33 points per game, this recent surge highlights his potential as a must-start option this week. Currently starting in only 54% of Yahoo Fantasy leagues, Ridley deserves far more attention in lineups.

Sit:

Najee Harris:

Najee Harris has been on a hot streak over the past four weeks, averaging 15.95 points per game. However, his momentum is likely to stall this week against a formidable Baltimore defense. The Ravens boast the 8th best run defense in the league, presenting the toughest challenge Harris has faced this season. His recent success has heavily relied on touchdowns, with three in his last four games. Prior to this stretch, he had zero touchdowns on the season, highlighting the unpredictability of finding the end zone. Given the strength of Baltimore's defense and Harris's reliance on scoring, it's a risky bet to start him this week. Currently started in 57% of Yahoo Fantasy leagues, we recommend sitting Harris for week 11

Week 12 Game of the Week: Tennessee vs. Georgia –

Of the six games covered in the QSAO “Game of the Week" series this will be the fourth time we cover a game from the SEC. The SEC has always been the pinnacle of college football, but with all the division realignment and drama with NIL and the transfer portal the SEC has been transformed into a hotbed for elite competition. This Saturday No. 7 Tennessee is hitting the road to play No.12 Georgia under the lights at Sanford Stadium in Athens. 

It was almost a year ago to the day that Georgia smoked Tennessee 38-10 where Georgia's defense played phenomenal, ending the Volunteers playoff hopes. Fast forward one year and the situation has completely flipped. After their week one win against No.17 Clemson no one would have expected that College Football’s up and coming dynasty would have their backs against the wall, fighting for a spot in the College Football Playoff. Tennessee on the other hand finds themselves in a great position, a win here all but guarantees them a spot in the College Football Playoffs and puts them in a great position to 

secure a first round bye and win the SEC.

Tennessee No.7 (8-1, 1st in SEC)

The 2024 SEC season has been full of surprises, with Tennessee emerging as the unexpected frontrunner, currently sitting atop the SEC standings and ranked sixth nationally. Many anticipated a "building year" for the Volunteers, largely due to the inexperience of redshirt freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava. However, his impressive development, combined with solid coaching from Josh Heupel and his staff has propelled Tennessee to success. Despite the added competition from powerhouses Oklahoma and Texas joining the SEC, Tennessee has risen to the challenge, proving critics wrong.

Coach Josh Heupel announced that the Vols expect quarterback Nico Iamaleava to be available for Saturday's game, despite his recent injury in last week’s win over Mississippi State. Iamaleava has had a rocky season as the starter for Tennessee, highlighted by their 19-14 loss to Arkansas where he completed 58.6% of his passes for 158 yards, no touchdowns, and an interception. Frustration had been mounting as Iamaleava completed just 62.9% of his passes for 736 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions in the first half of the season, leading some Vols fans to call for a change. However, Heupel stuck with Iamaleava, who has since stepped up his game, completing 63.5% of his passes for 829 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions in his last four. His performance against Kentucky, where he completed 73.7% of his passes for 292 yards and a touchdown, has given Vols fans renewed hope in their highly recruited quarterback. The Volunteers will need Iamaleava in the lineup Saturday as they look to continue on this roll and make it five straight wins. 

Many have argued that Tennessee’s defense hasn’t seen elite offenses as of yet but that's simply not true.  James Pearce Jr. is known to be the best rusher in the 2025 class, his flexibility, burst, and finish make him one of the best in the nation. Pearce has racked up 5.5 sacks, good enough for eighth in the SEC, and 12th in the SEC in total tackles among defensive linemen. Tennessee is great on the defensive side of the ball,  6th in the FBS and 2nd in the SEC in total defense, allowing just 255.9 yards per game. Against the run they are particularly dominant, ranking 9th nationally and 1st in the SEC, allowing only 100.0 rushing yards per game. The Vols were able to hold Alabama to 17 points and Oklahoma to 15, they must do the same this Saturday against Georgia, control the game with their strong rush defense and minimize scoring opportunities against an explosive Carson Beck led attack.

After a rocky start to the season, Iamaleava has steadily improved, leading the Vols to four straight wins hoping to add a fifth this weekend. The defense has been a constant force, shutting down powerful offenses and dominating in the run game. As the Vols prepare for a crucial game against Georgia, they will look to that strong defense and Iamaleava's continued growth to maintain their momentum and secure another divisional win to cement themselves in the College Football Playoff.

Georgia No. 12 (7-2, 4th in SEC)

Georgia was ranked No.1 in the pre-season AP and it has really not gone as planned for Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs to this point but all is not lost. Georgia comes in 7-2, you may remember their first loss in week four, in what will be remembered down the road as Ryan Williams' coming out party where they lost 41-34 in a classic SEC shootout. Their second loss came last week when Ole Miss dismantled them, they looked flat out uninspired on both sides of the ball. Georgia is looking to regain their confidence, the confidence that saw them beat down on Texas in a 30-15 blowout

Georgia's defense has experienced a noticeable slip in the 2024 season. While still respectable, ranking 14th in college football and sixth in the SEC in total defense, they've allowed 306 yards per game, below their usual standards. Last year, they averaged 289.1 yards per game, ranking fifth nationally and first in the SEC. Their run defense has remained steady, ranking 21st nationally this year compared to 20th in 2023, this rush defense will have to be huge as they face off against Dylan Sampson, though Ashton Jeanty and Ollie Gordon II take all the headlines, Sampson is the best running back in the SEC and one of the best in the Nation. The issue with Georgia's defense is the pass, they now rank 32nd in the FBS and sixth in the SEC, allowing 178.3 yards per game, whereas they were ninth in the nation last season. This overall decline has contributed to their defensive ranking slipping to 16th in points allowed per game at 18.4, compared to 15.6 last year. Since their 2022 National Championship win, Georgia has been known for their strong defense and dynamic players like Jalen Carter and Mykel Williams, under watch of defensive mastermind Kirby Smart. However, the defensive struggles they've faced in 2024 are uncharacteristic. They will need to tighten up as they face a high-powered Tennessee offense this weekend that ranks eighth in the nation in total offense.

Last week Carson Beck passed for only 186 yards while taking five sacks against Ole Miss. It won’t get easier against an elite Tennessee pass rush, but back at home, Beck will look to get going through the air. Per Pro Football Focus Beck  hasn’t had a big-time throw since the Mississippi State game and has looked flustered, which is odd for a four year SEC quarterback. Beck will have to channel some magic of seasons past and prove why he was a Heisman favourite entering 2024 play.

The Bulldogs have not played well this season, the only advantage they really have is they've won 30 straight games at home, we have to look all the way back to 2019 to see the last time they lost at home to an unranked South Carolina. The Bulldogs must hope to find some of that Sanford Stadium magic if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive on Saturday night.

Players to Watch

Carson Beck

So far in 2024, Beck has completed 65.4% of his passes for 2,488 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. In his standout 2023 season he posted a 72.4% completion rate, 3,941 yards, 24 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. 

Malaki Starks

Malaki Starks was ranked as the No. 10 player in all of college football according to ESPN’s preseason rankings and the third-best defensive back behind Will Johnson and Travis Hunter, Starks was an All-American last year with 52 total tackles and three interceptions.

Mykel Williams 

Mykel Williams came into this season as a projected first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, but an ankle injury kept him off the field for much of the first half of the year. Williams will look to regain his footing and get to Nico Iamaleava Saturday night. 

Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson has been exceptional this season, rushing for 1,129 yards and 20 touchdowns, ranking in the top 3 in both categories across all Power Four conferences. His explosive playmaking make him a crucial player to watch.

Nico Iamaleva

Nico Iamaleava has faced challenges this season but has shown significant improvement, completing 63.5% of his passes for 829 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions in recent weeks. His strong performance against Kentucky has renewed hope for Vols fans going into this week's matchup.

Source: ESPN

The Stakes

In a crucial Week 12 matchup, No. 7 Tennessee (8-1) visits No. 12 Georgia (7-2) with major playoff implications on the line. Tennessee has emerged as a surprise frontrunner in the SEC, with quarterback Nico Iamaleava showing significant improvement in recent weeks, leading the Vols to four straight wins. Their defense, ranked 6th nationally, has been dominant, particularly against the run, and will be key against Georgia's offense. Meanwhile, Georgia has struggled in 2024, with a defense that has slipped from its usual elite status, particularly in pass defense, and quarterback Carson Beck’s inconsistent play. 

With Tennessee riding high and Nico Iamaleava expected to play combined with Georgia’s recent slip in form, especially on defense, combined with the inconsistency of Beck’s play, makes it difficult to pick them for this matchup. Tennessee wins 30-17.

Week 10 NFL Fantasy: Who Should you Start and Sit?

Authors: Heath McKweon & David Gold

Start: D'Andre Swift

The Patriots’ defense has been vulnerable this season against the run, ranking them 26th in yards allowed per game. New England’s front seven can be solid, but has had difficulty stopping better running backs, especially those who can run and receive like Swift. In particular, the Patriots have struggled with receiving running backs, allowing them to gain a lot of yards. Swift’s ability to catch gives him a higher floor in PPR leagues and will increase his chance of scoring many fantasy points, even if his rushing is lackluster this game. Swift is currently averaging around 63 rushing yards per game and 28 receiving yards per game making him very difficult to control. Over the past few weeks specifically, Swift has been playing well and very productively which allows for increased opportunity this game on top of the favourable opponent.

Sit: Michael Pittman Jr

Michael Pittman Jr. is going to be a risky start for week 10 seeing that he has not had a very good season thus far. Pittman Jr. has just two touchdowns in 9 games and is not putting up large numbers in the receiving yards column either. The Colts are set to face the Bills this week who have a solid defense, there is no advantage there for Pittman Jr. The Bills strong pass defense has just been allowing around 210 passing yards per game and are ranked 8th for points allowed per game where they average 19.2 points allowed. The Colts have struggled a bit offensively, switching QB’s this season and now Josh Downs poses threat to Pittman Jr. as Downs has been getting increased receptions recently. Given these factors it is best that Pittman Jr stays on your bench this week.

Start: Malik Nabers

Malik Nabers could be a very good start in week 10 as he and the Giants are set to face the Carolina Panthers. Nabers has been relatively consistent this season and he led the team in receptions and receiving yards last game against the Commanders. Although that was not Nabers' best game, he should be in for a great week as he faces the 25th ranked pass defense. Nabers is averaging approximately 80 yards per game this season and is now going up against the defensively struggling Panthers who are allowing 232.6 pass yards per game. Although the Giants offense has not been as explosive lately, this could be a big game for Nabers and the Giants offense to bounce back as they play a struggling team.

Sit: Javonte Williams

The Chiefs’ defense has been consistently solid against the run so far this season. The Chiefs rank 3rd for run defense proving that Williams will likely continue to struggle this week. Their run defense is excellent at containing physical backs like Williams, making this an even tougher match up. Kansas City can put up points on offense so this could mean that Denver might throw the ball more, limiting touches for Williams additionally. Williams is the lead back in Denver, but he still shares the backfield with Aurdic Estime and Jaleel McLaughlin which inhibits his role on offence. If Williams continues to not be efficient in the game, the other running backs will have the opportunity to step up and take over the RB1 position. Williams has the talent to have a good game, but he has not proven himself this year and the Chiefs run defense will be too good for Williams to have a big break out.

Start: Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins will almost certainly be a great week 10 fantasy starter as he goes up against the New Orleans Saints, who have lost their last seven games in a row. Kirk Cousins is averaging 258 passing yards per game which make this week an amazing matchup as the Saints rank 27th in pass defense, allowing 240 pass yards a game. Kirk and the Falcons are coming off a good week against the Cowboys as Cousins threw for three touchdowns. With the way Drake London and Darnell Mooney are playing lately, Cousins should be in for an even bigger performance than their game against the Saints earlier this year. The Saints have kept struggling since the last time they played the Falcons, and the Saints secondary is giving up big plays to wide receivers. Cousins will likely be able to put up some solid fantasy points with the opportunities that will surely arise in this match up.

Xavier Worthy:

With the Chiefs adding DeAndre Hopkins to their offense along side Travis Kelce, they now have two elite pass-catchers who will take most of the targets. Kelce has always been a primary target for Mahomes, especially in the red zone and on third downs. Now, with D-Hop joining the Chiefs, one would anticipate he will be a frequent target, especially based on his abilities. This is not good for Worthy as he is likely to see much less involvement in the offense. Mahomes is known to trust his weapons and Worthy has not proven that he can be reliable for Mahomes yet this season. Worthy is averaging just around 30 yards per game, so he has not had that great of a season by any measure. Worthy is simply not a very trustworthy start anymore because his competition is so stiff on the team. Worthy has shown in his last game against the Ravens where he only received 2 touches compared to 8 in the game prior that this acquisition and roster will make him a fantasy bench.

Week 11 Game of the Week: Alabama vs. LSU – A College Football Playoff Elimination Game

Author: Max Mcclean

No. 14 LSU (6-2, 5th in SEC) will host No. 11 Alabama (6-2, 7th in SEC) on Saturday night in a pivotal SEC showdown, dubbed a "College Football Playoff Elimination Game." Both teams are fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive, adding extra intensity to this rivalry. For LSU, the game will center around the performance of standout junior quarterback Garrett Nussmeier, who has excelled this season but faces a significant challenge against Alabama’s formidable defense. The Tigers' defense, led by EDGE Bradyn Swinson, will need to contain Alabama’s dynamic dual-threat quarterback Jalen Milroe to secure a crucial victory in Tiger Stadium.

LSU No.14 (6-2, 5th in SEC)

Junior quarterback Garret Nussmeier has been a standout for the Tigers this year, ranking in the top 10 nationally with 328  passing yards per game and 20 touchdowns. One thing to note is Nussmeir’s completion rate, though sitting at 62.5% on the season, his rate drops down to 54% against AP top 25 teams, something to keep in mind against No.11 Alabama. Despite occasional indecision about using his legs to gain yards, Nussmeier has expressed a desire to improve in that area. Nussmeir has shown progress by keeping the ball on read options to pick up a first down. Nussmeir and the Tigers will have to get crafty to spread the offense on the ground against Bama’s tough run defense. 

Much of Nussmeir’s success must be attributed to his wide receiver core; LSU has four receivers with over 300 yards eight games into the season. Wide receiver group led by Kyren Lacy leads the team with 41 receptions, 618 yards, and six touchdowns. Complemented by other wide outs Aaron Anderson and CJ Daniels, and 6 '5 TE Mason Taylor, the Tigers have plenty of options to pick apart the Aggie secondary.

LSU EDGE Bradyn Swinson has emerged as a top pass rusher, recording 34 tackles, 10.5 for loss, eight sacks, and two forced fumbles in eight games. As LSU heads into the final stretch of the season, Swinson must maintain his momentum against Alabama. The Tigers need Swinson and Sai'vion Jones to contain Alabama's dual-threat quarterback Jalen Milroe, forcing him to pass rather than run. Linebacker Whit Weeks, who stepped up after Harold Perkins' injury, will play a crucial role in limiting Milroe's rushing. The defensive efforts of Swinson and Weeks are vital for LSU to slow down Alabama's offense on Saturday night.

Alabama No.11 (6-2, 7th in SEC)

The first season for Kalen DeBoer in the SEC has not gone the way DeBoer or The Crimson Tide envisioned. There was lots of concern when Saban announced his retirement following the 2024 Rose Bowl loss. A loss against LSU would knock Bama out of playoff contention, an absolute disaster for DeBoer in his first head to the helm.

Jalen Milroe  has proven to be one of the nation's top dual-threat quarterbacks, amassing nearly 2,000 passing yards and 13 touchdowns, along with 380 rushing yards and 12 scores on the ground. Milroe has an elite receiving threat in Ryan Williams, Will has made a significant impact in his true freshman season, a true freshman season that sees him a year younger than anyone in the nation. Williams leads the team with 35 receptions for 702 yards and seven touchdowns, establishing himself as one of the top wideouts in the SEC. 

Defensively, Alabama's secondary is anchored by Malachi Moore, who has excelled with 46 tackles, five pass breakups, and two interceptions this season. LSU's quarterback Garrett Nussmeier will have a tough time as  Moore's presence on the field tends to lead to big plays from the Alabama defense.

The Stakes

As the game approaches, the stakes couldn't be higher for both LSU and Alabama. The Tigers' success will depend heavily on Garrett Nussmeier's ability to navigate Alabama's defense and the effectiveness of their defensive line in containing Jalen Milroe. With a dynamic receiving corps and a strong defensive front, LSU has the tools to outmaneuver the Crimson Tide. Alabama's innovative offense has proven their ability to adapt. In a clash that could define their seasons, LSU's balanced attack and defensive prowess will  give them the edge,  LSU wins 21-17, keeping their playoff hopes alive and knocking off the mighty Alabama

Week 10 Game of the Week: A Match of Familiar BIG 10 Foes

Author: Max Mcclean

This Saturday's top-5 showdown between No. 3 Penn State (7-0, 3rd in BIG 10) and No. 4 Ohio State (6-1, 4th in BIG 10) is one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the season. Ohio State is preparing for their second top-5 road matchup of the season, needing a different outcome from their 32-31 loss to the now No. 1 Oregon and Penn State is looking to solidify themselves as one of the best teams in the nation in their first ranked match of the year.

Both teams find themselves in similar positions going into Saturday, Penn State, under head coach James Franklin, has built a reputation of coming up embarrassingly short against ranked opponents. On the other side, Head coach Ryan Day and Ohio State are still seeking that elusive signature win after their week seven loss to the now No. 1 Oregon. With The Buckeyes' explosive offense, led by quarterback Will Howard, and Penn State's stellar start defensively, this week 10 matchup of two top 10’s will surely be a thriller.

Penn State No.3 (7-0, 3rd in BIG 10)

For years now Penn State under  James Franklin has been known for beating all the teams they're supposed to then falling on their face against ranked teams when it really matters. Since being named head coach in 2014 Penn State is 1-6 vs. Top 10 Teams At Home, 6-9 vs. Ranked Teams at Home 1-8 vs. Top 5 Teams, and an abysmal 1-9 vs. Ohio State. Penn State is undefeated so far this season but lacks any impressive wins, their only notable win came against a now unranked USC who have since snowballed to a 4-4 record. James Franklin and the Nittany Lions need this win so bad to claim national respect and keep their College Playoff hopes alive.

As mentioned Penn State has had a favourable schedule so far, playing no ranked opponents, until now. To this point Penn State's defense hasn't really been tested, but has been incredible nonetheless. Penn State has allowed an average of 14.3 points per game (7th), 267.7 yards per game (4th), 4.3 yards per play (8th), and a 76.47% red zone scoring rate (21st). Tom Allen’s defense will have to prove why they are one of the best defenses in the nation to this point and stay consistent against a stacked Ohio State offense. 

Going into Saturday's matchup there is still the lingering question as to whether Drew Allar will be ready to go for the Nittany Lions. Penn State coach James Franklin said Monday that quarterback Drew Allar's status could be a game-time decision after Allar sustained a left knee injury in their win against Wisconsin last week. Allar ranks 10th nationally with a QBR of 83.6 and top 10 in the BIG10 for touchdowns, completion percentage, and least interceptions. While Sophomore backup Beau Pribula did a great job replacing Allar in the second half of the Wisconsin game completing 11 of 13 passes with a touchdown, Penn State needs Drew Allar to be ready to go for this Top five showdown.

Penn State needs this win against Ohio State, as the pressure on James Franklin rises. The defense must prove that they do belong as one of the best in Nation and can step up in the big game while the offense needs to rally behind whoever starts at quarterback. A win against Ohio State would not only solidify their playoff aspirations, likely locking them into a top 12 spot, but also earn them the national respect that has been elusive under Franklin's tenure.

Ohio State No.4 (6-1, 4th in BIG 10)

Ohio State is gearing up for their second top-5 road matchup of the season, and must come away with a different outcome. Many can remember in week seven when Will Howard scrambled on the last play of the game, draining out the clock, ending with a 32-31 loss to the now No.1 ranked team in the nation. Ohio State played well that day but not well enough, which seems to be a consistent theme. Ryan Day is still missing that “signature” win, after dropping to michigan in week 14 the last three years and an overall 2-6 against top-5 teams the pressure is on for Day and the Buckeyes to secure this win in Happy Valley.

Ohio State’s offense has been completely unbelievable to watch this season as they rank third in all the Power Four conferences with 40.4 PPG. Will Howard has had an outstanding season aside from that one blip against Oregon, throwing for 1,795 yards, 17 touchdowns, and only five interceptions. A Lot of this success must be attributed to ability in getting the ball to wide receivers Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka, Smith has been able to rack up 520 yards for six touchdowns while Egbuka has not been far behind with 449 yards and four touchdowns. Ohio State will surely be looking to find their two talented receivers and test this unproven Penn State defense.

Ohio State's running back position is in an interesting place, once touted as the best running back room in the nation, The Buckeyes rushing attack has stalled out in recent weeks. Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson have been able to compliment eachother terrifically,  Judkins leads the team with 520 rushing yards and Henderson not far behind with 449 and the two have been able to combine for 10 touchdowns in seven games to this point. Impressive, yes, but in their last two games Judkins and Henderson have combined for a total of 164 yards and one touchdown. Penn State gave up 189 yards on the ground in their biggest game against USC earlier this year and the Buckeyes rushing attack must show some flashes of old as they try to exploit the Nittany Lions on the ground.

As Ohio State heads into this critical week 10 matchup, the team faces immense pressure to avoid their second loss of the year, secure a signature win, and bolster their playoff chances. A victory in Happy Valley would not only validate their season but also alleviate the growing pressure on Ryan Day to deliver in high-stakes games.

Who Has The Edge?

As Penn State faces off against Ohio State, the stakes couldn't be higher for both teams. For the Nittany Lions, this game is a chance to prove that they belong in the conversation with College Football’s elite, regardless of quarterback Drew Allar's availability. Ohio State, meanwhile, enters this critical matchup in a similar situation, a second loss Saturday would leave little to no room for error the rest of the season for The Buckeyes

The Buckeyes' potent offense, driven by Howard and bolstered by standout receivers Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka, will test Penn State's defense. The running game, led by Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson, must also regain their footing to exploit the Nittany Lions on the ground. 

Given Ohio State's offensive firepower and their need to win this game, I have Ohio State 31, Penn State 27 in a classic in Happy Valley. The Buckeyes' ability to execute in key moments and their balanced attack will likely tip the scales in their favor, securing a crucial win. 

Week 8 Game of the Week: Texas vs. Georgia – A Battle of the No.1’s

Author: Max Mcclean

College football fans are in for a treat, after another commanding 34-3 victory last week, No. 1 Texas, in its first year in the SEC, will look to maintain its undefeated record and stay atop the AP poll when it hosts No. 5 Georgia this Saturday. While Texas has risen to the top this season, Georgia has been the dominant powerhouse in the SEC for years, and the Bulldogs will be eager to remind everyone why they’ve ruled the conference as they seek to take down the top team in the nation.

This is exactly what fans got excited about with all the conference realignment this offseason, more meaningful high stakes games, between college football powerhouses. The SEC has always been the pinnacle of college football, but with the addition of Oklahoma, and specifically Texas, the SEC is a hotbed for elite competition. Georgia is hitting the road and heading to Austin in what could be a College Football Playoff preview. This game will also feature an intriguing coaching battle, as both Georgia's Kirby Smart and Texas' Steve Sarkisian come from Nick Saban's coaching tree at Alabama. With both these coaches having learned under Saban, it only adds more excitement in what will be a battle for the SEC’s top spot.

Texas No.1 (6-0, 1st in SEC)

In their first season in the SEC Texas has been clear and away the best team in the nation, stomping over everyone in their path including the reigning National Champion No. 24 Michigan and most recently Oklahoma, in a 34-3 win in the Red River Rivalry game at the Cotton Bowl. Although dominant, this will be Texas’s first real test of SEC football since joining the conference this season.

Quinn Ewers was one of the top three favorites in the preseason Heisman odds before his injury and has been among the elite quarterbacks in college football for the past couple of years. This makes his return to the Longhorns offense last week especially significant, as he missed two games due to an oblique injury sustained against UTSA in week 3. The usually calm Ewers looked shaky in his first appearance back against Oklahoma, missing open throws and turning the ball over once after only throwing for 13 yards in the first quarter. Ewers was able to settle in after, finishing the game with a 68% completion percentage, good enough for 199 yards and a touchdown in a dominant Red River Rivalry win.  

Texas has effectively embraced the running back by committee approach this season, after losing CJ Baxter for the season back in fall camp. Baxter, the 247lb, Recruited 5-star, was expected to be a major contributor to the Longhorn offense this season. Texas has averaged 188 yards on the ground through their first six games averaging 5.1 yards per rush, and scoring 16 touchdowns. While running backs Quintrevion Wisner and  Jaydon Blue have filled the role well, much of their success must be attributed to their outstanding offensive line led by Jake Majors and Kelvin Banks Jr. a projected top 5 pick. The Texas offensive line must stay strong, in a conference known for its physicality and toughness, dominating the line of scrimmage is essential to come away with a home victory on Saturday.

Texas has already proven they can beat anyone, with two signature wins already on their schedule, Georgia however presents a different challenge for Steve Sarkisian and the Longhorns. Texas will need to have  incredible play all over the field this Saturday, relying on their top contributions of Ewers, Blue, Wisner, and standout Alabama transfer Isaiah Bond. Texas will need to be sharp particularly on defense, where they must disrupt Georgia's physical rushing game and force the Bulldogs into uncomfortable passing situations. Steve Sarkisian’s offense, led by Quinn Ewers, will also have to remain efficient and find a way to get the ball into the hands of Isaah Bond who may have the opportunity to go off against the weakest Georgia secondary we've seen in years. 

Georgia No.5 (5-1, 4th in SEC)

Kirby Smart and the Georgia Bulldogs are hitting the road for yet another Top 5 matchup, only hoping that this one will go a little better. Georgia Bulldogs are looking to regain their footing in a redemption match that can see them making up ground after their emotional loss to Alabama in week four. Georgia has been the example of College Football dominance for years now, but you know what they say “It is more difficult to stay on top than to get there” and this recent defeat has raised questions as if  Georgia can maintain that elite status.

Georgia under Kirby Smart has been known for their defense and specifically getting to the quarterback to force turnovers in the air. This year Georgia has not gotten that done ranking 87th in the nation with only 1.6 sacks per game and a measly five total turnovers. Safety Malaki Starks and Edge Mykel Williams are crucial to Georgia's defensive success as they prepare for their matchup against Texas. Starks was the No. 10 ranked player in all of College Football according to ESPN’s preseason rankings and the third best defensive back only behind Will Johnson and Travis Hunter. Starks was an All-American last year with 52 total tackles and three interceptions last season. Williams, a projected first round pick in the 2025 NFL draft must get home and sack Quinn Ewers if the Bulldogs want any kind of success in Austin.

Offensively the Bulldogs will look to QB Carson Beck and his favourite weapon Arian Smith for some juice. Beck has had a stellar year so far, ranking 9th in the nation with 1,818 yards over 6 games and remains in Heisman talks. Smith had been his go to target against Alabama earlier this year with six receptions, good enough for 132 yards and touchdown in a thrilling road loss. Beck and Smith must find this connection again and lead their strong offensive unit to a win against Texas.

There is no doubt Kirby Smart knows what is at stake here, a loss would make for a very slim margin for error as we move into the back half of the College Football Regular Season. Georgia has all the tools to win this game, they’ve been in these situations with this same group year after years. With a balanced offensive attack and a defense loaded with talent, Georgia must win this game to assert its dominance once again as the face of College Football and take a big step in establishing a Saban like dynasty. 

Who has the Edge?

It seems like every week we are being treated to College Football classics, and this week feels no different with another top 5 matchup under the lights at  Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas will look to continue its dominance by defeating SEC power house Georgia in their first season, while Georgia will look to remind everyone why they got that title in the first place. This is a game loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and we are in for a treat with National implications. 

Texas’s offense will prove to be too much for Georgia's defense, even with super stars Malaki Starks and Mykel Williams. With Quinn Ewers back from injury, and his favourite target Isaiah Bond firing on all cylinders, Steve Sarkisan’s offense will just be too much for Kirby Smart to handle in this SEC showdown.

Week 7 Game of the Week: Oregon vs. Ohio State – A BIG 10 Defining Battle

Graphic: Liban Rizvi

Author: Max Mcclean

After a week of stunning upsets, week 7 of the 2024-2025 college football season brings the most important matchup for the College Football Playoff race. Week 7 is headlined by a critical BIG10 showdown that sees the No.3 Oregon Ducks playing host to the No.2 Ohio State Buckeyes in what could be the year's most important game.

Both teams enter this game with their eyes firmly set on gaining separation atop the BIG10 conference. This is an even more coveted title this year as it carries a first-round bye in the newly expanded 12-team College Football Playoff. With both teams ranked in the top three, this clash has all the makings of a playoff preview, and the winner will have a significant edge in solidifying their postseason path.

Oregon 

For Oregon, their inaugural season in the BIG10 has already been filled with excitement. In week 2, they topped the Ashton Jeanty led No.17 Boise State in a 37-34 victory at home. Transitioning from the PAC-12, where the Ducks dominated in recent years, it is clear they have established themselves in one of college football's toughest conferences. With the new expanded 12-team playoff format, a BIG10 title would not only bring a trophy but a critical first-round bye.  

For Oregon to defeat Ohio State, Dillon Gabriel will need to have a Heisman-caliber performance. Gabriel has been everything he was hyped up to be when he transferred from Oklahoma, leading all of college football with a 77.8% completion percentage. His precision in the passing game is the reason the Duck's offence is one of the most efficient in the nation, averaging 35 PPG. 

Gabriel has effectively  been able to get the ball into the hands of his playmakers all season. Running back Jordan James is averaging 110.4 yards per game on the ground bringing a new component to the Oregon offense they are not used to seeing in Eugene. Receiver Tez Johnson has also been shining this year, racking up  395 yards and 43 receptions through the first five games of the season. Johnson brings excellent speed bursts and elite route running to the table, easily creating separation from defenders. 

The Ohio State secondary is likely the best Oregon will play all season. If Gabriel can maintain his high level of play, avoid turnovers, and continue to put the ball in the hands of his playmakers, Oregon will have a real shot at knocking off the Buckeyes and securing a critical win in their push for a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff.

Ohio State

Since Ryan Day was named head coach five years ago, Ohio State has been sixth in record against ranked opponents across college football. Ohio State has compiled an impressive 16-8 record, boasting a win percentage of 66.7% against these opponents. That being said, Ryan Day is missing a “signature” win, after dropping to Michigan in week 14 of the last three years. The pressure is certainly on for Day and the Buckeyes to secure this crucial victory. 

As per usual, Ohio State’s offense has been explosive averaging 46 PPG this season. They are led by Will Howard, a Kansas State transfer who has impressed the Buckeye faithful this season. Howard has completed 71.5% of his passes for 1,248 yards, 12 touchdowns and three interceptions through five games this season. Howard has also impressively rushed for four touchdowns himself in that timeframe. 

Scarily for Oregon, this isn’t the strongest part of Ohio State’s game. To complement their impressive quarterback and wide receivers, Ohio State has arguably the best running back tandem in the nation. The Buckeyes great running game features Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson. Judkins leads the team with 468 rushing yards and five touchdowns, while Henderson isn’t far behind him with 337 combined with 8.0 yards per carry. This is critical to note as Oregon gave up 192 yards on the ground to the nation's top running back Ashton Jeanty earlier this year. The Buckeyes will hope to wear the Ducks down through their tough running game, raising their chances of a win. 

After three straight years of losses to Michigan in week 14, Ohio State is well aware of what’s at stake here. A victory in Week 7 would not only give them the upper hand in the BIG10 title race but also solidify their position as a top contender for one of the playoff byes. The Buckeyes thrive in big games, and they will arrive in Oregon ready for a fight.

The Stakes

This game is imperative for both teams. Not only is it the No.2 vs No.3 team in the nation, but the winner likely solidifies their position as the best team in the BIG10. A loss doesn’t necessarily eliminate either team from playoff consideration but leaves little room for error with difficult schedules remaining for both.

For Ohio State, a win would solidify their position as the best team in the BIG10, a title they haven't held in quite some time. For Oregon, a victory announces to the nation that they belong in the National Championship conversation and can hang with college football's elite.

A First Half of Glory, Tanking, and Broken Records: The NBA Mid-Season Report

Author: Gideon Beck

Editor: Samuel Traynor

It’s that time of the year again. Halfway through another NBA season and things are only starting to get interesting. Maybe you’re still hungover from New Years and maybe your bank account is drained from the holidays, but there’s no better remedy for the woes of January than a good old fashioned mid-season analysis.

So far, there has been no shortage of surprises. The early success of small market teams certainly makes for exciting basketball, not to mention a level of team parity unseen in decades. It seems like players are having 50-point nights on a weekly basis as offensive numbers are soaring past what was previously thought to be impossible in the modern NBA. Meanwhile, rebuilding teams are taking advantage of their poor records to try and score the coveted Victor Wembanya lottery draft pick. One of the most concerning trends this year is the rate of injuries among young high-level talent. All of these developments will be discussed through a division-by-division analysis. I take a deep look into each team’s first half, identifying their success factors, their let downs, and, if necessary, their concerns. I start off with the Western Conference.

Northwest Division

Oklahoma CIty Thunder

Rob Carr / Getty Images

The Success Story: SGA

It’s hard to imagine a player with higher odds of winning the Most Improved Player Award this year than Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. A mere four years after being traded away from the Clippers, the ‘22-‘23 season has him averaging 30.5 PTS, 5.5 AST, and 4.9REB, not to mention he makes 35% of his 3-pointers, 53% of his 2-pointers, and 91% of his free throws. Shai has become one of the most versatile offensive weapons in the league which, if all goes right, will translate into All-NBA shooting guard honours. The 2019 Clippers-Thunder trade saw L.A. receive a mid-prime Paul George and Oklahoma receive a sophomore Gilgeous-Alexander, Danilo Gallinari, four first round picks, and two pick swaps – it’s truly remarkable, with the benefit of hindsight, of course. Whether it’s his unique ability to maneuver his body around defenders to score in the paint, or his smooth midrange game, the 24-year-old SGA has started carving his name into NBA history with each passing game.

The Let-Down: Early defensive implosion

Despite Shai’s triumph into super-stardom, the Thunder are lacking a cohesive supporting cast. Lu Dort and Josh Giddey show promise of being good two-way facilitators in years to come, but there seems to be a lack of defensive competence otherwise. Surprisingly, they now have the tenth ranked defensive rating, a massive improvement to their dead-last ranking in October. Defensive shortcomings aren’t too surprising considering they have one the youngest teams in the NBA with an average age of 22.9. The defensive competence will increase as the team becomes more experienced, but it certainly makes OKC a noncompetitor in this year’s title race.

The Concern:

The second-overall pick from the 2022 draft, Chet Holmgren, was not only projected to be the first-overall pick ahead of Paolo Banchero, but he was also expected to be an immediate contributor to the Thunder’s ‘22-‘23 campaign. Before the season even started, the 7-foot center was playing in a pro-am game and was guarding Lebron James on a fastbreak. As he went up to block the 18-year veteran, Holmgren landed awkwardly and suffered a midfoot fracture, sidelining him for the entirety of the coming season. Sorry Thunder fans, but this rebuild has been extended once again.

Minnesota Timberwolves

David Berding / Getty Images

The Success Story: Jaden McDaniels

I think some people are going to be pissed off that it’s Jaden McDaniels selected as the Wolves’ success story over Anthony Edwards. Hear me out. The third-year power-forward has managed to maintain a field goal percentage of 53% and has been a better shot blocker than his 7-foot teammate, Rudy Gobert. He was a late-round pick in 2020 but has managed to find a starting role on a Minnesota team that is desperately trying to pave the way for a playoff run. He is an underrated bright spot amongst a flurry of team drama.

The Let-Down: Gobert trade is the worst in history?

I think it’s safe to say that if the Wolves don’t make it past the first round this year, their front office will be subjected to some of the most ferocious criticism the league has seen in a long time. Only half a season in and there persists rhetoric from fans, players, and the media that dub the Rudy Gobert trade one of the worst in NBA history. Giving up Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Leandro Bolmaro, Walker Kessler, Jarred Vanderbilt, and four first round picks, the Timberwolves traded away their entire future to bank on a squad led by Anthony Edwards, D’Angelo Russel, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Rudy Gobert. The problem is that when Towns and Edwards aren’t shooting threes, they’re taking advantage of an empty key where they can burst through, pull up for an easy midrange, or throw down a dunk. Now with Gobert on the team, the key has become overcrowded and neither Towns nor Gobert have been able to adjust their playstyle to accommodate. Furthermore, it seems like Edwards will require more development to truly be called a number-one option on a championship team like the Wolves’ GM had hoped.

The Concern: The future

If the Gobert experiment doesn’t work out the Timberwolves are screwed. They barely have any first-round draft picks to their name for the foreseeable future. They have tried to build a championship team around a 21-year-old star and are quickly discovering that he has not yet developed the discipline to command such responsibility. If the Wolves get knocked out early or, god forbid, they manage to miss the playoffs entirely, I will have to agree with the rhetoric that says the Gobert trade was the worst in recent memory.

Portland Trail Blazers

Cary Edumdson / USA Today Sports

The Success Story: Jerami Grant

Was anyone else surprised with how little the Blazers had to give up to acquire Jerami Grant? A first-round pick plus two second-rounders was enough to secure the dynamic 28-year-old wing. Sure, Grant’s last two years in Detroit were injury plagued, but the guy was putting up 20 points per night on decent efficiency. He has steadily improved his play every year since he’s been in the league, and this year is no different. Averaging 22 points per game, he is the perfect pick-and-roll partner and has managed to keep the team afloat despite Lillard’s intermittent injury absences.

The Concern: Lillard’s Recovery

With a revitalized young core and a prime Jusuf Nurkic, it’s easy to forget that Lillard is still the captain of this franchise. He has the talent to bounce back from last year’s injuries, but he has played in only 32 games. The team’s continuity has certainly been hindered with him coming in and out of the lineup. There’s honestly not much else to say about this Blazers team. They were expected to be a club that just barely makes the play-in, and now it seems like they have real aspirations for the playoffs.

Denver Nuggets

Nick Wosika / USA Today Sports

The Success Story: The Joker

Is there such thing as MVP voter fatigue? If so, this year’s MVP ballots may expose this psychological phenomenon. Listen, he may not be as flashy as Ja, as powerful as Giannis, or as graceful as Tatum, but we damn-well know that Nikola Jokic is one of the best centers to ever play the game. Last year, he nearly averaged a triple-double on terrific efficiency. This year, his point totals are down slightly, but only because Jamal Murray is back from injury. He is currently averaging 25 PTS, 9.9 AST, and 11 REB and he makes all of his teammates around him better in the process. He is one of the most elite passers the league has ever seen and, considering the Nuggets record of 32 and 13, it would be a crime to take their best player out of the MVP conversation.

The Concern: Depth

Denver has one of the most complete rosters in the league; there’s not too much to criticize. Kentavious Caldwell Pope and Bruce Brown were excellent offseason role player additions, although they should look to beef up their bench before the playoffs start.

Utah Jazz

Darren Yamashita / USA Today Sports

The Success Story: Lauri Markkanen

Do I smell a franchise player? While his play has plateaued (maybe even declined slightly) since the first few weeks of the season, it cannot be overstated how well Lauri Markkanen has fit into an unpressured Utah system. He has come a long way from his underwhelming years in Chicago and Cleveland where he was averaging around 14 points per game. Utah was amongst the top teams likely to tank for Victor Wembanya, seeing as they traded away both Donavan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert this offseason. Yet, what they got in return may have turned out to be far too lucrative to secure a lottery draft pick. Lauri Markkanen is averaging 24.8 PTS and 8.7 REB. Around him are Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Malik Beasley, and Mike Conley who have all played efficient team-oriented basketball; both ‘spread’ and ‘transition’ offences are their bread and butter. Despite how well they share the ball, Markkanen is their clear central piece.

The Concern: The Jazz currently have a record of 24 and 24. From a GM’s perspective, it does not make sense to win any more games. Unlike the fans in Charlotte, Houston, and Orlando, the Utah fans have had the luxury of cheering for competitive basketball thus far. I struggle to see how (or why) they would push to be above a .500 record when this year’s draft class is to be historically stacked. I’m sorry Jazz fans, but obviously your team is not built for a playoff run and you should expect to see some unprecedented tanking maneuvers in the months to come.

Pacific Division

Phoenix Suns

Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports

The Success Story: Devin Booker

Booker is averaging 27 PTS, 5.6 AST, and 4.6 REB. If he stayed healthy, he would have remained in the MVP conversation, although more than a few players have a better case than him. The Suns are one of the most competently put-together teams in the league, and Booker is their most valuable player. Players like Mikal Bridges and Deandre Ayton go under the radar, but the Sun’s had the ninth ranked offense in the league before Booker was injured, and it has now fallen to fourteenth.

The Let-Down: Playoff performance

Last year’s Western Conference Semifinals has left a stain on the Phoenix Suns that will last a lifetime. Oozing with confidence in an important game 5 against Dallas, Booker exaggerated the contact he received while shooting in the paint; he purposely flopped to the ground and exclaimed to the courtside fans that he was imitating the “Luka Special”. After the game, Doncic responded to Booker’s mockery by walking past the media to say, “everybody acts tough when they’re up”. In the words of Michael Jordan, Luka took it personally. What followed was one of the worst playoff choke jobs of the modern NBA. The next game the Mavericks beat the Suns by 27 points to force a game 7. In game 7, Doncic shot 63% from the field and put up 35 points while Booker shot 21%, mustering 11 points. The Suns looked unequivocally checked-out from

the moment after tip-off. The Mavs won by 33 points, leaving the Suns and the entire NBA stunned by what just occurred. Their league-leading regular season record of 64 – 18 was wasted on a series that, by all stretches of the imagination, should have been a minor hurdle on their way to the finals. The Suns have been on a losing skid recently but are generally playing decent basketball again this year. It means nothing if they don’t show up to the most important games.

The Concern: Chris Paul’s health

No one’s denying that he can still be an excellent facilitator. After all, he is third all-time in assists total. However, Paul has only played in 26 games. His ability to get himself buckets is well on the decline, and a team that is in championship mode should certainly be concerned with their 37-year-old point guard’s health come playoff time.

Los Angeles Clippers

ESPN

The Success Story: Defensive dominance

Are you really surprised that the Clippers’ saviour this year would be their defense? It’s no secret that Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are the epitomes of two-way players. However, they also epitomize the fragility of the human skeletal system; they are of the most injury prone superstars in the league. It’s a miracle that George has suited up for 31 games, and Leonard 22. Players like Ivica Zubac and the ever-underrated Norm Powell have been able to keep things afloat in their stars’ absence. The team has managed to uphold the ninth-best defensive rating while having the fith-worst offensive rating, allowing them to inch their way into the 8th seed in the Western Conference at the halfway mark.

The Let-Down: John Wall

I will admit my hopes were far too high when I saw that John Wall had signed with the Clippers. The excitement around him pairing with Kawhi and George only primed me for disappointment. That’s not to say that Wall has been a negative addition to the team, but it is heartbreaking to watch him average 11.4 PTS, 5.2 AST, and 2.7 REB with subpar efficiency. Reggie Jackson has rightfully claimed his spot as starting point guard.

The Concern: Injuries, Injuries, Injuries

The Clippers do not stand a chance in the postseason if Leonard and George don’t stay healthy. Having just one of them won’t cut it. We all saw what happened to George in the play-in game last year. For god’s sake, Kawhi, let us watch a healthy Clippers team for once.

Los Angeles Lakers

Sean M. Haffey / Getty Images

The Success Story: Anthony Davis

Before he was reinjured, Davis was looking like his New Orleans self again. He started off the season taking terrible shots and working outside the paint, leading to a team record of 0 – 5.

But as always, he was making a case for defensive player of the year. He gradually found his mojo and put up a deadly field goal rate of 62% in his last 10 games before the stress fracture in his foot.

The Let-Down: Shooting

The Lakers currently have the fifth worst 3-point percentage in the league at 33.7%. Everyone knows that in today’s league, while you may not have to follow the Golden State “Splash Brother” model of perimeter-intense offense, you certainly need to have a couple of reliable shooters on the payroll. Austin Reaves and Thomas Bryant have bright futures in that role, but they lack the defensive capability to avoid becoming a straight up liability. They are both in the negatives of the defensive box plus/minus stat category.

The Concern: Fragility

Anthony Davis has played in 25 games. Need I say more?

Sacramento Kings

Lachlan Cunningham / Getty Images

The Success Story: De’Aaron – Domantas combo

The Kings are good, don’t let anyone tell you otherwise. The so-called “Beam Team”, named for their celebratory purple light beam that shoots into the Sacramento night sky after their home wins, are making a real case for a playoff run. Maybe not a deep run, but Fox and Sabonis are an exciting duo that have a bright future. Keeping in mind that the average player efficiency rating in the NBA is a score of 15, Fox and Sabonis are rated 20.5 and 23.9 respectively, which are impressive numbers for this advanced statistic. Also, has anyone noticed that the big man Sabonis is shooting 38 % from 3?

The Let-Down: Malik Monk’s defense

I’m being really picky here. There’s not too much to criticize about this up-and-coming team. It can be argued that Malik Monk, a player who has shown so much promise as an offensive weapon since being drafted by Charlotte in the first round in 2017, is showing to be a defensive liability. He is currently well under the average NBA defender according his defensive box plus/minus.

Golden State Warriors

Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images

The Success Story: A 34-year-old Curry

This could actually be Steph Curry’s greatest season to date. On a Warriors team trying to dig themselves out of an early season hole, the ‘Baby-Faced Assassin’ has maintained a 3-point percentage of 42%, a 2-point percentage of 59%, and a true shooting percentage of 66%. Despite his 2020 injury, he hasn’t lost a step. In fact, if this year’s league wasn’t stacked with the likes of Embiid, Tatum, Doncic, and Antetokounmpo, Curry would certainly be in a serious conversation for another MVP title.

The Let-Down: James Wiseman

He was sent down to the G-League for a couple games in December, a treatment pretty rare for a second-overall pick. Let me remind you that Wiseman was picked ahead of Lamelo Ball, Tyrese Halliburton, Tyrese Maxey, and Desmond Bane in the 2017 draft class. The big man off the bench has yet to find his confidence, averaging 6.8 points per game, and a measly 3.6 rebounds.

The Concern: An injured ‘Maple Jordan’

Andrew Wiggins has played in only 27 games and was injured for most of December. The Warriors have no chance at another title without their best defender.

Southwest Division

New Orleans Pelicans

Jesse D. Garrabrant / Getty Images

The Success Story: The return of Zion

This article features some heavily opinionated claims that may not be empirically valid. Here’s another one of these claims for you: the Pelicans are the most exciting team in basketball. CJ McCollum, Jonas Valanciunas, Brandon Ingram, Trey Murphy, Herb Jones, Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance; I challenge you to find another team with a more explosive and energetic roster, both starting and off the bench. Depth aside, their “crème de la crème” is Zion Williamson. He has returned from injury with a head full of steam and is the league’s master of the paint. Resembling a young Shaq with bigger hops, he makes 72% of his shots when three feet from the basket and is averaging 26 points per game.

The Concern: Brandon Ingram

This is a concern for both the Pelicans and the rest of the league. Currently, New Orleans is the 4th seed in the Western Conference and Brandon Ingram has only played in 15 games thus far. If the ‘Pels’ are as ferocious as they are without Ingram, what will they look like when they’re fully healthy? Although I would not expect a championship title without Ingram on the floor.

Dallas Mavericks

Brandon Wade / AP Photo

The Success Story: Luka Magic

Everyone’s tired of hearing it, but we have to keep saying it. Luka Dončić is the future of the league. On December 27, 2022, the Slovenian god put up 60 points, 21 rebounds, and 10 assists in an overtime win against the Knicks. Down by 2 at the end of regulation, he purposely missed his last free throw, reattained the rock, and put up a miracle shot to send it into overtime. He then scored 7 points to secure the win, capping off one of the best performances the league has ever seen. Tatum, Durant, and Giannis better watch out because that historic game has

made it difficult to vote against Luka for MVP this year. After an early season slump, the Mavs are back in contention thanks to Mr. Magic.

The Let-Down: Kemba Walker

I really need to tone down my expectations when it comes to injury-prone former all-star point guards. Kemba Walker pairing up with Luka is an exciting headline, but Walker just isn’t that guy anymore. He hasn’t played a full season since 2020 and, while his efficiency was never really there, his production has gone away now too – 8 PTS, 2.1 AST, 1.8 REB.

The Concern: A one-man show

Luka has a usage rate of 38.1%, second in the league behind Giannis. Just like the James Harden Rockets throughout the 2010s, an isolated offense that requires one superstar to initiate every possession is one that cannot make it through to the finals. Yes, the Mavs arrived at the conference finals last year, but they were no match for the team-oriented Warriors. What if Luka gets hurt? What if an opposing team unravels his offensive schemes?

Memphis Grizzlies

Justin Ford / Getty Images

The Success Story: A rising young duo

When it comes to Ja Morant, there’s not much to say that hasn’t already been said. The Grizzlies are currently the 2nd seed in the Western Conference and Ja Morant is largely to thank for that, having the fourth highest usage percentage in the league. Yet, it is often the unsung heroes that iron out a team to make them a contender. For the ‘Grizz’ that player is Desmond Bane. The third-year shooting guard has tremendous chemistry with his superstar point guard. He isn’t the most efficient, nor is he the best defender, but a player who can average 21.8 points per game on a serious contending team while only 24 years of age is impressive to say the least.

The Concern: Health

It’s difficult to nitpick one of the best, most fast-paced teams. Bane is surely needed healthy in the playoffs and a title is nearly out of the question without him.

San Antonio Spurs

Adam Glanzman / Getty Images

The Success Story: Keldon Johnson

The Spurs are not looking for wins this year. They are in an ugly pursuit for as many losses as they can get without hindering their young players’ development. After all, Wembanyama is the ideal candidate to replace their previous franchise center in Tim Duncan. As soon as Dejounte Murray was traded to the Hawks, an opportunity presented itself to small forward Keldon Johnson. The few wins the team has gotten in the first half have been ushered in by Johnson and his steadily increasing scoring numbers. I wouldn’t say he’s a frontrunner for the Most Improved Player Award, but his sizable increase in production is nothing to scoff at.

The Let-Down: Poeltl’s shooting

Don’t get it twisted, Poeltl is a crafty center that any team lacking a big man would kill to have protecting their rim. However, there’s something to be said for versatility. Guys like Jokic, and Embiid have learned to expand their game behind the arc and shoot around three 3-pointers a game, and with good efficiency. This offensive capability has catapulted them into superstars, allowing them to space the floor, pull defenders away from the key, and dish out easy assists. Meanwhile, Poeltl has attempted a total of three 3-pointers in his entire career. If he could develop an outside shot he could be become one of the premier centers in the league.

Houston Rockets

Jae C. Hong / AP Photo

The Success Story: A developing young core

The Rockets may be the worst team in the league this year, but that doesn’t mean they’re the most incompetent. With the youngest team on average at 22.4, Kevin Porter, Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun, and Jabari Smith make up a core that could have the highest ceiling of potential of all the rebuilding franchises. Eric Gordon is the perfect veteran mentor to help bring out that potential. Much like all the 2023 rebuilders, the Wembanyama sweepstakes are too tempting to make any more structural changes that would improve their record.

The Concern: Bobi

No one can criticize the Rockets for their ugly record. After James Harden left them in the dust by forcing a trade to Brooklyn, they were forced to enter a rebuild and have done a pretty good job thus far. A notable concern is the absence of fan-favourite Boban Marjanovic. The lovable center has only suited up 15 times this year. Whether it’s due to minor injuries or simply not being a helpful contributor, it would do the Rockets some good to put Bobi on the floor to help get some asses in seats during a tank year.

Atlantic Division

Toronto Raptors

John E. Sokolowski / USA Today Sports

The Success Story: Pascal’s takeover

Before the season began, Siakam was quoted saying he wished to be a top-5 player in the league. For the first two weeks of the season, his wish came true as he was virtually unstoppable when shooting his patented spin-to-fadeaway midrange jumper. He was then sidelined for two weeks after a groin injury caused by a slip in a game against the Mavericks. Since his return, he hasn’t been able to match the scoring intensity of the league’s other big names, but there is no doubt he resides in the top 10-20 player area. He currently averages

25.5 PTS, 8.2 REB, and 6.4 AST, putting up a 52-point night against the Knicks in December. Not bad for a 27th overall pick.

The Let-Down: Scottie B.

Scottie’s numbers have dipped in most aspects of his game despite his increased field goal attempts. Call it a sophomore slump or a string of off-nights, the reigning Rookie of the Year has been one the faces of criticism on a struggling Raptors team. Fans should not be so worried. His assist percentage has shot up to 21% and his defense remains solid. He has started 2023 with newfound energy, but the way his season began stunted his confidence.

The Concern: FVV

Fred VanVleet is a shooter; it’s in his DNA. He was an all-star last year but now he is on track to have his worst shooting season yet. Hovering around 33% from behind the arc, he has become more and more unreliable to make clutch shots and effectively slows down the Raps’ offence. That doesn’t stop him from having the odd 30-point night.

Philadelphia 76ers

Michael Reaves / Getty Images

The Success Story: The Beard

It was not too long ago that some NBA fans were predicting that the end of Harden’s career was sooner than later. After forcing his way out of Houston and showing up to training camp out of shape, he went to play on a Brooklyn Nets team ripe with controversy. Harden then forced his way out of yet another team to play for the 76ers alongside Embiid. The past two years have shown us a declining Harden that focuses on playmaking over shot-creation. It turns out that in Philadelphia this year, that’s exactly what they need. Harden is averaging over 10 assists per game and the team’s record is 28 and 16.

The Concern: Tyrese Maxey

Another case of injuries getting the best of young talent. Maxey is a shifty up-and-coming point guard. He was sidelined for the entirety of December, leading many to worry about the success of this team come playoffs. He is back on the roster in January, but foot injuries can often derail an entire season.

Brooklyn Nets

Dennis Schneidler / USA Today Sports

The Success Story: A rapid turnaround

A team that centres around Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving is always a contender. Yet, these future hall-of-famers managed to start their season off with a record of 2 – 6, leading to the firing of head coach Steve Nash. Now, a whole two months after the dramatic ordeal, the Nets have a record of 27 and 16, among the top teams in the east. Some say it is due is due to a newfound team chemistry. More significantly, it is because Durant is having a career year and Nic Claxton is the most efficient role player in the league. Durant is averaging 30 PTS, 6.7 REB, and 5.3 AST while Claxton has the highest true shooting percentage in the NBA with 70%. True shooting, which factors in all field goals and free throws, is a stat dominated by all-star big men. Fortunately for the Nets, Claxton is a player who needs few touches to make an impact. As Kyrie and KD put up over 25 points on any given night, they are supported by a center as reliable and unselfish as any.

The Let-Down: Ben Simmons

Ben isn’t the worst point guard in the league, but he is certainly not the best. After playing in three straight all-star games, his career has been tormented by injuries and drama associated with the 76ers organization. He was the first-overall pick in the 2016 draft and was expected to develop a solid jump shot to pair with his elite passing and driving abilities. Seven years later and his shot is nowhere to be seen. He has taken one failed 3-point attempt this season which makes it easier for defenders to leave him open at the arc and cover his passing lanes.

New York Knicks

Justin Ford / Getty Images

The Success Story: The return of Randle

Julius Randle was in the all-star game in 2021 but he missed out in 2022 as his numbers dropped across the board. After missing the playoffs, he received truckloads of criticism from the staunch Knicks fans which seems to have proven an effective motivator. Randle has upped his 3-point attempts to nearly eight per game, sinking 34% of them. He averages 10.7 rebounds and 24 points per game. It would have to be a cataclysmic second half for Randle not to make an all-NBA team.

The Concern: RJ Barrett

No one is saying he is a draft bust. He is only 22 and is still developing his game. The shooting guard hasn’t exactly wowed the league with his lackluster defence, homing in a defensive box plus/minus that is 1.6 points worse than the league average.

Boston Celtics

Derick Hingle / AP Photo

The Success Story: The most dominant duo

The Celtics have the best record in the league and the most unstoppable duo. Jaylen Brown is averaging 27 points per game while Jayson Tatum makes a real case for MVP with 31 points per game. Everything about this team screams title contention. No team puts up more points than the Celtics do. In fact, the 2022-2023 Celtics currently have the highest offensive rating in their franchise’s history.

The Concern: Robert Williams

Williams is probably the Celtics’ best defender and he was a huge reason for their 2022 finals run. He has been out for most of the season, returning for the first time in December with limited minutes. As a result of his absence, the Celtics defensive rating sits at eighth place in the league, an immense downgrade from last year’s second place rating.

Central Division

Chicago Bulls

Jonathan Daniel / Getty Images

The Success Story: DeMar DeRozan

The Bulls are in limbo. Sitting at a lowly play-in spot in the Eastern Conference standings, they aren’t quite sure whether to trade away some assets to make way for a rebuild, or if they should hedge their bets. By trading away future picks for another star to pair alongside DeRozan, Lavine, and Vucevic, the Chicago Bulls could assemble some sort of playoff presence; they risk throwing away their whole future. Luckily, the 33-year-old DeRozan is continuing to dominate the old-fashioned midrange game, sinking 51% of his shots from 3-10 feet out.

The Concern: Lonzo Ball’s knee injury

Lonzo is an ultra-skilled defensive guard. Last season the Bulls had a top-5 record while Lonzo was healthy. After he got injured, their defensive schemes began hemorrhaging and became a first-round playoff exit. It is unlikely Lonzo will log a single minute on the court this season as the longevity of his career altogether is in question.

Indiana Pacers

Jacob Kupferman / AP Photo

The Success Story: Haliburton’s new gig

Last year the Pacers made a blockbuster trade to move Domantas Sabonis to Sacramento for rising star Tyrese Haliburton, turning out to be the ultimate win-win scenario. Haliburton leads the league in assists per game with 10.2. The Pacers were not supposed to be playoff participants at all. Haliburton’s ability to always find the open man makes the entire roster better and has led to an impressive winning record for a team expected to tank for Wembanyama.

Another Success Story: Ben Mathurin

There’s virtually nothing to criticize about this team’s first half. It would be a shame to talk about them without mentioning their dazzling rookie Benedict Mathurin. He is averaging 17 points per game coming off the bench. If Paolo Banchero manages to derail his season, Mathurin is next in line for Rookie of the Year, while also making a case for Sixth Man of the Year.

Milwaukee Bucks

Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images

The Success Story: Giannis’ prime

It’s hard to say if this is Giannis’ best year yet… it sure looks like it. Khris Middleton has missed almost the entire season thus far, leaving Giannis with only Jrue Holiday, Brooke Lopez, Grayson Allen, and Jevon Carter to take on starting minutes. This team should not be contenders without Middleton, but yet they are one of the best teams in the east and have the fourth ranked defensive rating. Giannis is averaging 31 points per game with terrific efficiency. He has the highest usage rate in the league and is basically putting this shorthanded Bucks team on his back. The ‘Greek Freak’ is 28, meaning this year will be among the peak years of his ability.

The Concern: Long term practicality

Giannis cannot fathomably keep this up. He will need rest before the playoffs. Middleton is absolutely vital to the survival of this team down the stretch.

Detroit Pistons

Dylan Buell / Getty Images

The Success Story: Bojan Bogdanovic

Detroit knows that they are well in the mix for the Wembanyama sweepstakes. They stand to benefit from having the worst record possible while maintaining positive development for their young talent. With Cunningham out for the season, 33-year-old Bojan Bogdanovic has stepped up and become a formidable shooting veteran. He is averaging a career high 21 points per game and is shooting 42% from 3-point range. It’s become very clear that 2023 is a tank year for the Pistons, but the young guys still need guidance from veterans like Bojan.

The Concern: Cunningham’s injury

Cade’s tibia fracture should be very concerning for the Pistons front office. Young players are more overworked than ever and the Ball brothers are a prime example of what could happen to Cade’s long term health. Through their youth, both LaMelo and Lonzo trained vigorously to be lottery draft picks. Now Lonzo is out for the rest of the season and LaMelo has only played 22 games due to a prolonged ankle sprain. Last year’s first-overall pick, Cade Cunningham, also has a stress fracture that has sidelined him for the season. No one can really point fingers here, but one could deduce that players who strive be a lottery pick put in copious workloads that can be detrimental to their long-term health.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cole Burston / Getty Images

The Success Story: The ‘Spida’ trade

71 points. On January 2, Donovan Mitchell became the eighth player in NBA history to reach 71 points in a single game. More impressively, he is the only player to put up 70 points and 10 assists in a single game. It’s easy to come to the conclusion that we witnessed one of the greatest performances ever. It was odd seeing one of the league’s biggest names wind up on a small market team this offseason. After all, Donovan is from New York and he was hoping to play for the Knicks. It turns out there couldn’t have been a roster more suited to Mitchell than the Cavs. What the city lacks in flair and international notoriety, it makes up for in lob threats (Evan Mobley), lockdown defense (Jarret Allen), and elite playmaking (Darius Garland). It’s one of the best starting rosters the NBA has to offer. Of course, the signing of Mitchell would make them immediate contenders.

The Let-Down: Lack of wings

The Cavs are in need of some wing depth. Caris LeVert is a fine role player and Evan Mobley is blossoming into a star. But there is a real chance this team has title contention in them this year. Some extra bench support couldn’t hurt.

Southeast Division

Atlanta Hawks

Chris Marion / Getty Images

The Success Story: Dejounte Murray

The Hawks have been spiralling since December. A series of losing streaks coupled with tension between Trae Young and head coach Nate McMillan have led to a record around 500. On a more positive note, Dejounte Murray has lived up to his trade value as an impactful two-way guard. He leads the team in steals with 1.7 per game and has maintained a steady split of 20.6 PTS, 6.1 AST, and 5.5 REB. As it is known throughout the league, Trae Young is a complete and utter liability on the defensive end. Murray’s presence makes it more difficult for opponents to burst through the perimeter defense.

The Let-Down: Trae Young’s defense

At what point will Young’s defensive incompetency outweigh his offensive greatness? Sure, he is averaging 27.2 points per game, but he also has the highest turnover rate and the worst defensive box plus/minus on his team. Most would assume that this former lottery pick would have developed some defense by now.

The Concern: Clint Capela

Atlanta’s best rebounder has been injured through most of December and the new year. His absence has certainly contributed to the teams drop in the standings. If he cannot remain healthy then Hawks fans should expect further misery, regardless of Okongwu’s formidable play as starting center.

Orlando Magic

Justin Ford / Getty Images

The Success Story: Paolo Banchero

There’s a lot to love about this team. The rise of Franz Wagner; the comeback of Bol Bol; the leadership of Terrence Ross; the subtle yet consistent play of Markelle Fultz. It’s all fun to watch. The team’s highest scorer is something else entirely. Clearly the frontrunner for rookie of the year, Paolo Banchero has burst onto the scene with fire and fury. Paolo joined Lebron and Kareem as the only players ever to put up 25 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists in their NBA debut. It’s exceedingly rare to see a rookie make such an impact, let alone lead their team in points per game.

The Let-Down: Mo Bamba

Mo has officially lost his starting spot to Wendell Carter and Bol Bol. It’s unfortunate. Mo has been improving his production and efficiency since his rookie year only to be confined to the bench this year. What’s odd is that he has continued to progress, especially his 3-point shot, but is still denied prime minutes. It looks as though Bamba is not a part of the Magic’s rebuild plan and he should expect to be traded away before the deadline.

Washington Wizards

Jess Rapfogel / Getty Images

The Success Story: Kristaps Porzingis

A reminder: Washington traded away Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans to receive former all-star Kristaps Porzingis and a second round pick. It’s safe say Washington won that trade. Porzingis has never played better. His value plummeted when playing alongside Doncic, but now with Beal, Porzingis is putting up more points than he did his all-star year with better efficiency.

The Let-Down: NBA limbo

Washington will probably be a play-in team at best. They are kind of halfway between a Wembanyama tanker and a team trying to make a playoff run. They have too much talent to be lottery favourites, and they don’t have enough to be serious competitors. It’s a predicament that might be worse than finishing in last place.

Charlotte Hornets

Jacob Kupferman / AP Photo

The Success Story: Scary Terry

The Hornets tasted competency last year. For most of the season they hovered around the seventh seed but ultimately missed the playoffs. This year they are in full tank mode. Luckily, having one of the worst records in the league isn’t all bad. ‘Scary’ Terry Rozier is a human highlight reel, always ready to throw down a dunk to breathe life into a dead Carolina arena.

The Concern: LaMelo’s injury

He’s played in less than half the games so far. He sprained the same ankle twice this season and it’s not even the all-star break. Michael Jordan and his front office staff have much to fear if Melo can’t stay healthy throughout the second half.

Miami Heat

Michael Reaves / Getty Images

The Success Story: Bam Adebayo

Since his all-star season in 2020, the league has recognized Bam’s tidy jumper, elite rebounding, and effortless defense. Now it could be argued he is more valuable to the Heat than Jimmy Butler. Of course, Butler’s playoff performances have historically been out of this world. But this year Jimmy Buckets can’t stay healthy or consistent enough to be dubbed the best Heater. That title is reserved for Bam and his 21.5 PTS, 10 REB.

The Let-Down: Duncan Robinson

Robinson is contractually guaranteed $17 million this year, $18 million the following year, $19 million in 2025, and $20 million 2026. He truly has one of the most untradeable contracts. The Heat’s front office made a rash decision to splurge on their newfound sharpshooter after the 2021 season. It turns out Robinson was not as advertised. He went from shooting 46% from 3-point range in 2020 to 33% in 2023. His minutes have dropped dramatically and so have his point totals. He is the perfect example of an NBA let-down… no offense, Duncan.

It's looking like the second half of the 2022-2023 season will be even more exciting, upsetting, and record-breaking as the first half. Even for the tanking teams, the coming months should be entertaining as the looming trade deadline could change the future of organizations. Players are putting up more points than ever and the top teams are looking evenly matched. If that doesn’t make for great basketball, I don’t know what does.

All statistics are up to date as of January 19, 2023

Data Sources: Basketball Reference

World Cup Preview: Who Will Win it All?

Authors: Manav Jain, Matthew Hobbs, Colin Wong, Alex Madden, Stefan D’Ippolito

Player Cards: Colin Wong

Editor: Manav Jain

The 2022 World Cup is here! Despite untraditional circumstances, with the tournament taking place in the middle of the season, the top teams are here to play - seeking to bring home the biggest trophy in all of sport. The QSAO team is here to break down the five biggest contenders in this tournament. According to an average of 16 data-driven models predicting the World Cup (assembled by Jan Van Harren), there is a 57.47% chance that one of Argentina, Brazil, England, France, or Spain will reign victorious. Let’s have a look at how the sides stack up.

Argentina

Getty Images

Championship Probability: 12.42%

Having a well-rounded team that just last year, won their first international trophy since 1993, Argentina are looking like legitimate contenders. Add on the important element that this will be the last World Cup for their captain and all time leading scorer, Lionel Messi, the Albicelestes should be more than up for making a deep run in the 2022 World Cup.

Tactical Overview

Argentina’s manager Lionel Scaloni took over the side after their Round of 16 exit in the 2018 World Cup. Since then, Argentina have only suffered defeat in four of the 50 games they have played, being unbeaten for over three years. 

Unlike Argentina’s sides of the past that have focused on fitting in as many of their talented attackers as possible, this team is focused on creating a strong and secure defensive foundation and running their attacks through Lionel Messi. Without the ball, Argentina tend to maintain a 4-4-2 formation, with their intense midfielders and attack picking moments to press the opposition while relieving Messi of such responsibilities. In their own half, Argentina are very compact and tough to break through, sitting in a 4-4-1-1 formation, and leaving Messi free for any counter attacking opportunities. 

Argentina’s Projected Starting XI and Key Substitutes

Argentina’s forward play is flexible, their attacking style is a mix of intricate passing buildups, as well as direct counter-attacks. Rather than being focused on a distinct method of attacking, Scaloni sets up his side to give his talented attackers the freedom of picking their opportunities to attack in different ways. Their formation in attack shifts to more of a 4-3-3, with the left sided midfielder tucking in and Ángel Di María pushing forward. Typically, the left back, Nicolás Tagliafico is given more license to get forward and overlap than his right sided equivalent.

Argentina’s build up play is variable, with the side willing to take both direct or measured approaches.

Liam Tharme/The Athletic

The Star

Since Scaloni has taken over, Argentina’s style has been focused on getting the best out of their star man, Lionel Messi. He enjoyed a fantastic 2021 Copa América campaign where he had 4 goals and 5 assists in 7 games. Lionel Messi’s strike partner for Argentina, whether it be Lautaro Martínez or Julián Álvarez will be intense defensively, picking up Messi’s defensive duties. In attack, Messi is at the centre of everything Argentina creates, and his performance in this World Cup will be a large amount of what decides Argentina’s fate. La Pulga is a complete attacking threat, ranking in the 99th percentile for dribbles completed, 98th percentile for non-penalty expected goals, and 97th percentile for expected assists [2].

The X-Factor

Giovani Lo Celso has been an important part of Scaloni’s Argentina side, playing a hybrid role between being a defensively responsible left midfielder and defense, while being able to move into midfield when Argentina have possession. However, a muscle tear and a subsequent surgery has resulted in Lo Celso being ruled out of the World Cup, leaving an important gap in Argentina’s midfield. Filling this hole will likely be Brighton’s Alexis Mac Allister who will be tasked with the responsibility of balancing his attacking and defensive responsibilities while playing a role he is not too familiar with. Mac Allister has enjoyed a fantastic start to the 2022-23 season with Brighton, albeit as more of a deep-lying playmaker. His ability to rise to the challenge in perform in this new role will be influential on how well Argentina will fare in this World Cup.

Brazil

Henry Romero/Reuters

Championship Probability: 19.52%

The tournament favourites, Brazil are in fine form ahead of their 2022 World Cup campaign, having gone unbeaten in the qualifiers for the tournament through 17 games, and conceding just 5 goals over that span. 

Tactical Overview 

Brazil played in several different formations in qualifying, but have looked their best playing a 4-2-3-1. They will tend to switch to a 4-2-4 when attacking, with Neymar shifting from a traditional number 10 role into a more advanced position alongside the other striker, who was most often Richarlison. They can easily transition from defence to attack through their double pivot of Casemiro and Fred, the former having been a key in numerous Champions League-winning Real Madrid sides. The fullbacks tend to stay quite narrow and don’t typically push on, whereas the wingers like to stay high and wide, often hugging the touchlines. These tactics allow Brazil to get the best from their star man Neymar who can drop deep to get a pass or drift wide and collect from one of the fullbacks. 

Brazil attempts to keep the ball in the midfield third, forcing the opposition to push up the pitch, after which they play balls for their attackers to run onto. 

As far as the Starting XI goes, most players seem nailed on, but both ST and LB seem to be up for debate. Tite has seemed to prefer playing Richarlison up top, however, there is a question of whether Jesus’ excellent form for Premier League leaders Arsenal be enough for him to get into the Starting XI. A key element Jesus brings over Richarlison is his playmaking which might be necessary to break teams down. Alex Sandro seems the more likely left-back to start. However, his recent form might leave a spot for Telles in the lineup. 

Brazil’s Projected Starting XI and Key Substitutes

The Star

Although it might be the most obvious pick, Neymar is certainly Brazil’s star player, and their success will rely primarily on getting the best out of him. His 8 goals and 8 assists in 10 matches led Brazil in both categories as he looks to continue that form into what he said could be his last World Cup. He ranks in the 99th percentile for Shot-Creating Actions per 90 (6.59) and Progressive Passes (6.59) per 90 showing his influence in Brazil’s attacking efforts as he often is involved in bringing the ball toward the goal or creating a shot opportunity for his teammates as well as scoring numerous himself.

The X-Factor

A problem Brazil could find themselves in is needing something past the hour mark in a match, considering it would be expected that most teams will sit back against them. Thus, a fresh set of legs will be very important and as far as super subs go, Rodrygo finds himself right at the top of that list. Although the 21-year-old has not had many chances to play for Brazil in the qualifiers, his form at Real Madrid this season might be enough for him to make appearances off the bench for Brazil. His famous double against Manchester City in the latter stages of the 2nd leg of the Champions League semi-final still comes to mind as one of the most clutch performances in recent history. The right-winger ranks in the 96th percentile for Touches in the opponent’s penalty area per 90 with 6.72 as well as the 93rd percentile for pass completion % per 90 with 83.9%. The winger also averages over 3 shots per 90, meaning his intent towards goal could be vital in getting Brazil a late goal.

England

John Walton/PA Images/Imago Images

Championship Probability: 6.98%

England’s recent international form is a topic of great discussion approaching the world's biggest sporting event. With two recent losses to Hungary, one to Italy and relegation in the Nations League Gareth Southgate’s job relies on a strong result in this World Cup.

Tactical Overview

Gareth Southgate’s brand of football is not very popular amongst fans. Many have said that England’s style of play is very boring and defensive. It is no secret that England plays a style of football that allows the opposing team to play onto them. While maintaining the pace of play, the side most often finds themselves in their own half, building up slowly and meticulously. With this in mind, England is forced to solely play on the counter and attack from set pieces. They ranked 1st in UEFA for set piece goals and 2nd in set piece xG during the World Cup Qualifiers. Another fair criticism heading Southgate’s way is their habit of parking the bus after taking leads in big games. Such was the case in the Euro 2020 Final, World Cup 2018 Semi-final, and the quarter-final in which they all failed to hold onto 1-0 leads.

Formation wise this World Cup, we will likely be seeing England play in a 4-3-3 formation with one defensive midfielder and two central midfielders. England can play very dynamically as sometimes they transition into a 4-2-3-1 with either Mount or Grealish taking the role of the number ten. During the European Championship, they also played a hybrid of 3-4-3 where Kyle Walker slipped into a centre-back role and Kieran Tripper into a right-wingback role. This will likely be the case in certain games later in the tournament where England faces higher-quality opposition. England can be very creative in attacking midfield as they have many players to fill the roles such as Phil Foden, Jack Grealish, and Mason Mount. All three can play on the wing as well.

England’s Projected Starting XI and Key Substitutes

The Star

The only place where England is non-negotiable is up front where Captain Harry Kane has featured in most games for the squad in the last 5 years. For both his goal-scoring ability and his creativity, Harry Kane is the man to lead England into Qatar. Second in all-time scoring for England at 51 goals, Kane’s finishing has been elite for years. He is also an incredible asset in the air, which plays to England’s liking of set pieces. Kane, scoring 16 of 19 senior England penalties is also an elite penalty taker, almost guaranteeing conversion for England in key moments.

The X-Factor

With a burst of recent form from Arsenal’s wonder boy, Bukayo Saka is heading in the right direction to make a big impact for England in Qatar. Saka is a very busy attacker who gets tons of touches in the attacking third and will hopefully pair up well with Sterling and Kane as he does with Gabriel Jesus and Martinelli back in London. He is in the top 25% for all expected goals, assists, non-penalty goals, and total shots. His killer instinct in front of goal this year has been a key to Arsenal’s recent success as well as his ability to create big chances. Saka continuing his club form onto the international level will be crucial for England’s World Cup chances. 

France

James Hill/New York Times

Championship Probability: 9.41%

As the reigning World Cup winners, France will be looking to become the first nation since Brazil (1958, 1962) to win back-to-back World Cup titles. Les Bleus will also be looking to end a World Cup champions’ curse dating back to 1998. Since 1998 there have been four World Cup winners from Europe (France 1998, Italy 2006, Spain 2010, and Germany 2014), all of whom have failed to progress from the group stage of the following tournament. 

Tactical Overview

Injuries to key players Pogba, Kante, and Benzema have created chances for several less-established players like Tchouameni and Rabiot to step into the starting XI.  

Benzema’s injury, in particular, will change the way that France will look to attack. Instead of Coach Didier Deschamps’ preferred 4-3-1-2 formation with fluid movement between the front three of Benzema, Mbappe, and Griezmann up top, he will likely shift to a 4-2-3-1 formation with Giroud leading the line and the trio of Mbappe, Griezmann, and Dembele behind him in support. Alternatively, Deschamps could lineup more defensively in a 4-3-3 shape, replacing one of his front four (likely Giroud or Dembele) with the more defensive-minded Camavinga or Guendouzi.

Statistically, Giroud and Benzema profile as very different players, highlighted by Giroud's lack of involvement in build-up play as seen by his 22.15 passes attempted per 90 minutes (47th percentile), 0.84 progressive passes (16th percentile) and 0.2 dribbles completed (2nd percentile). Meanwhile, Benzema averages 44.61 passes attempted per 90 minutes (98th percentile), 3.78 progressive passes (96th percentile), and 0.89 dribbles completed (54th percentile).

Giroud likes to play as more of a target man, looking to get involved around the box often with his back to goal with balls played to feet or in the air, with the trio of players behind him looking to run into the space past him or to receive the ball in nearby positions with a short layoff. France will not rely on Giroud to score goals; in fact, he failed to score a goal or to even register a shot on target in the 2018 World Cup, the burden will instead be placed on the combination of Mbappe, Griezmann and Dembele.

France’s Projected Starting XI and Key Substitutes

The Star

With the Ballon D’or winning Benzema having to pull out of the French squad due to injury, France will need Mbappe to step up and score goals to go deep in the tournament. Mbappe comes into this World Cup looking to build on his last, where he scored 4 goals as a teenager and was awarded the Best Young Player Award. The now 23-year-old Frenchman has netted 12 goals in 14 Ligue 1 appearances this season for his club side PSG, ranking him in the 99th percentile of forwards in Europe’s Big 5 leagues for goals per 90 minutes, and has additionally ranked in the 99th percentile for total shots, non-penalty expected goals + assists, touches in the opposition box, and progressive passes received. The average of 11.76 progressive passes received per 90 minutes is a good representation of how Mbappe likes to play. He will be expected to exploit the spaces in behind opposition defences with frequent runs beyond the striker Giroud.

The X-Factor

With injuries to established midfielders Pogba and Kante, France will be relying on Tchouameni to run the show in the midfield at this World Cup (and for many future tournaments). Having been signed for a reported €80 million fee last summer by Real Madrid (ESPN), expectations are high for the deep-lying midfielder. Tchouameni excels defensively both on the ground and in the air. According to FBREF, Tchouameni averages 2.72 interceptions per 90 minutes (99th percentile) and wins 2.19 aerial duels per 90 minutes (91 percentile). Tchouameni is also comfortable in possession and build-up play. The midfielder averages 5.61 progressive passes per 90 minutes (93rd percentile), completes an average of 68.4 passes per 90 minutes (91st percentile) and completes his passes at a rate of 88.3% (89th percentile). For France to go far in the tournament, a big performance from Tchouameni will be required. Expect Tchouameni to show why Real Madrid paid an initial fee of €80 million last summer to sign him from Monaco CF and to cement a place in the French starting XI moving forward.

Spain

Reuters

Championship Probability: 9.14%

Spain has been a powerhouse in international football for many years with the heights of their power taking place from 2008-2012 when they won two Euros and one World Cup in succession. With the likes of Xavi, Iniesta, Casillas and many more in their prime, one can see why they were so dominant. Now with a fresh group of young and hungry Spaniards, the question remains, can they reach the heights that the legends of before achieved? With their strong showings in Euro 2020 and World Cup qualifiers one would be mistaken to think otherwise. 

Tactical Overview

With the guidance of their manager, Luis Enrique, this young Spanish team encapsulates Spanish football to the fullest. They play high-possession football with their last time registering under 60% possession being in March 2020. Not only do they keep possession well, but they are one of the best-pressing teams in the tournament. In Euro 2020, Spain had a press success rate of 36.4%, rated first in the tournament. They also had the best Sequence Start Distance in the tournament at 47.3 meters, meaning they were winning the ball higher up the pitch than all the other teams. Spain tends to play in a 4-3-3 formation with one holding midfielder and two more creative outlets on either side of him. The four defenders usually play a high line to keep up with the press, with the fullback overlapping on occasion. With the fullbacks overlapping, the wingers tend to cut on the inside to allow space for them. 

Spain’s Projected Starting XI and Key Substitutes

The Star

Despite only being 19 years old, Pedri has already established himself as a certified starter in Luis Enrique’s team. Pedri is essential in linking up the defence and the attack and he is in good form for Barcelona, where he plays his club football. Pedri is also an extremely effective transition player, averaging 5.42 progressive passes and receiving 4.57 progressive passes per 90 minutes played, which are in the 90th and 95th percentile respectively, of players in Europe’s top 5 leagues. Given Spain’s possession style of play, their midfield is of utmost importance in creating chances and organizing the press. This means Pedri will be tested on countless occasions but given what he has shown in his young career, there is every reason to believe he will continue to shine as Spain’s star player. 

The X-Factor

Even though Spain does an excellent job at keeping possession, they do not tend to put the ball in the back of the net as often as most would think. In World Cup qualifying, Spain averaged 1.87 goals per game. This does not seem awful, but when comparing Spain to the teams they were playing, such as when they put 4 goals past the 78th-ranked Georgia, this is not up to Spain’s standards. Also, when comparing them to other top nations, such as Germany, who averaged 3.6 goals per game and England, who averaged 3.9 goals per game, one can see the problem Spain has. Morata is key in fixing said problem and just might be the key to Spain winning the World Cup. Morata, like Spain, did not have a fantastic World Cup qualifying in terms of scoring. He averaged 0.37 goals per 90 minutes played. With that being said, Morata has enjoyed good club form this year averaging 0.53 goals per 90 in a very defensive Atletico Madrid side. If Morata can keep this form going, or even improve, then Spain has a very good chance at going all the way in this year’s World Cup. 

With so many talented players and teams at the World Cup, results could go a number of ways. Sides that we have not even covered such as the Netherlands, Germany, Belgium, Portugal, Uruguay, and more could all conceivably win the World Cup as well, it is tournament football after all. Let us know which side you think will triumph in 2022 on social media or the comment section below!

Data Sources: Jan Van Haaren, FBREF, The Athletic, ESPN, Tifo IRL, Transfermarkt

What's Different With the Toronto Maple Leafs This Year?

By Liam Kindred

If there's one thing to know about being a Maple Leafs fan, it's to never get your hopes up about a regular season. Over the last few years, fans have seen the iconic franchise break their franchise records for regular-season wins and points yet continuously come up short in the opening round of the playoffs.

The Leafs entered this season coming off a 7-game loss to the rival Canadiens, seeing Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner combine for just one goal while completely shut down by Phillip Danault and company.

A deeper dive into the 2021-22 Leafs shows a far more balanced team than in recent years. Production from the bottom six forward group, a stout defensive core, and a stunning first-half from Jack Campbell in his first season as a starter signals something very dangerous to Leaf fans everywhere: Hope.

#Leafs lines in warmup (Game 7 vs. MTL):

Hyman-Matthews-Marner
Galchenyuk-Kerfoot-Nylander
Mikheyev-Engvall-Simmonds
Thornton-Foligno-Spezza

Rielly-Brodie
Dermott-Holl
Sandin-Bogosian

Campbell starts
Andersen

— Kristen Shilton (@kristen_shilton) May 31, 2021

Full Leafs lineup vs Pens - this is how they go against Crosby and Co. tonight:

Bunting-Matthews-Marner
Kerfoot-Tavares-Nylander
Mikheyev-Kampf-Kase
Engvall-Spezza-Simmonds

Rielly-Brodie
Muzzin-Sandin
Dermott-Holl

Campbell starts
Mrazek backs up

— mark zwolinski (@markzwol) February 17, 2022

As Jake Muzzin returns from injury (he will take the place of Travis Dermott or Timothy Liljegren depending on the night), the differences in the Leafs Game 7 lineup outside of the return of John Tavares are not in the form of big names, yet have still been highly effective. The minor offseason acquisitions of Kyle Dubas have performed well above expectations- the most notable of these signings being Michael Bunting, a player that had only played in 26 NHL games before this season and was selected to play for Team Canada at the 20-21 IIHF World Championships.

Credit: John Blacker, Canadian Press

Seen below, Goals Against Replacement measures player performance based on total goals added to the team relative to a replacement-level player. GAR compresses value based on even-strength offense and defense, powerplay offense, penalty drawing, penalty taking, and faceoff. Using regression techniques, value is calculated and summarized for each player- for example, shot generation and scoring are used as drivers for even-strength offense.

The stat can give an idea- albeit a rough one- of the total value generated by a player. In this case, bars look at actual numbers versus expected numbers based on these factors, with blue indicating positive and red indicating negative results. xGAR, or expected goals above replacement, aims to calculate the number of goals a player would expect to get based on their opportunities.

Source: Evolve Hockey

Seen as a Zach Hyman replacement with early reports before the season listing Bunting as an x-factor for this offense and a potential 20-goal scorer, the first-liner has been a welcome surprise for the Leafs on a sub-$1M deal compared to Hyman’s $5.5M AAV in Edmonton. The 26-year-old rookie has 33 points through 48 games, tied for the league lead in penalties drawn at 27 while on pace and is on pace for a 56 point season (25 Goals, 31 Assists).

While a slightly differing xGAR total does indicate a potential slight cooldown on Bunting’s high point total based on shooting percentages, it cannot be denied that he has been an incredible add for the Leafs. Refreshingly, an extra year for Bunting on his discount deal makes it hard to miss Hyman, especially with the complete game and edge he brings night in, night out.

What makes this such a welcome addition? In the last two series that saw losses to Montreal and Columbus, the team relied way too heavily on the ‘big four’ to generate offence. Not to excuse the fact that the team should have won both of these series, however the lack of depth scoring made it a lot easier for teams to set their line matchups.

This problem existed throughout each of the prior two seasons and continued into the playoffs, with this year’s team looking much more positive in this aspect. Bunting has not been the only welcome surprise for the Leafs. Ilya Mikheyev and Ondrej Kase are on pace to finish this season right around the 20-goal mark and Jason Spezza is set to close out around 30 points, these three guys will have an important impact come playoff time.

Power-Play Prowess

Credit: Billy Hurst, AP Images

It was around this point of last season when the powerplay went ice cold only managing to score 6 goals on 76 attempts (7.8%) in the last 30 games. Starting the season newly-promoted Assistant Coach Spencer Carbery took over for Manny Malhotra in running the powerplay to incredible results.

Carbery’s new system is topping the NHL through the first 48 games of the season converting 31.6% of their opportunities. Incredibly, this number is 4.7% higher than the second-highest St. Louis Blues. The difference between the Leafs and second-place Blues is less than the distance between St. Louis and the 10th-place Colorado Avalanche (23.7%), an incredible feat for the Leafs.

The main difference between this season’s power play and the end of last season is its lack of predictability, with PP1 players constantly rotating through different positions. Take a look at this series of tweets showcasing the Leafs powerplay lines, via David Alter on Twitter.

Source: David Alter, @dalter, Twitter

This setup has been consistent over the past few weeks, with Marner and Matthews rotating between the different flanks while Nylander and Tavares rotate the bumper position in the center of the umbrella. You will also notice that cross-seam pass is a lot less common this year making this year's powerplay much more of a dynamic threat as opposed to past years.

Matthews (20) and Nylander (18) are leading the team in power-play points with Marner (12) looking like much more of a scoring threat in this system. After not scoring a power-play goal since the 19-20 season, he has four since returning from his injury and has been on a heater with 20 points in his last 10 games.

The key part of it all is Auston Matthews- who’s on pace for the first 50-goal season of his career after a COVID-shortened season had him fall just short last year. Overall, the powerplay has been producing consistently and the offensive talent it contains will give them a clear advantage over any team that they play in the playoffs.

Player Spotlight

Source: Kirby Lee, USA Today Sports

One of the most important pieces of the offense throughout this point in the season has been Alex Kerfoot. He has been quietly having one of his best seasons in the NHL, getting top-six minutes consistently playing alongside Tavares and Nylander. This opportunity has allowed him offensive freedom which has translated into a big increase in point production. As seen, Kerfoot is a darling of the GAR stat, adding 19 goals this season compared to a replacement-level player.

Source: Evolve Hockey

In his two most recent seasons with the Leafs, Kerfoot was used as a depth forward, often playing in a shutdown role. When UFA David Kampf was acquired last offseason, the bottom six instantly became much stronger defensively which was a big factor in Kerfoot’s ability to move up the lineup. Kerfoot currently has 33 points with 30 of them at even strength which is on par with Patrick Kane and Evgeny Kuznetsov. He will have an underrated effect on the team in the playoffs as his ability to generate offense for the second line will help take the pressure off the high-powered Matthews line.

Since his standoff with Kyle Dubas to sign a contract back in December of 2018, it always seemed that William Nylander to regain approval from the majority of Leaf's fans. After a disappointing second-half to that 2018-19 season, last season he proved that he’s worth every bit of his deal with the Leafs. He was by far the best forward in the seven-game series in the Habs, totaling 8 points on 5 goals and 3 assists. With Tavares, Matthews and Marner all missing games throughout this season, Nylander has consistently been one of the most reliable forwards to generate offensive chances.

Source: Evolve Hockey

Nylander’s point totals sit at 45 points through 46 games while serving as a key element of the aforementioned powerplay, totalling the second-most power-play points on the team (6 goals, 14 assists). Nylander will be a very important piece of this offence down the stretch and makes his line a legitimate goal-scoring threat every time they are on the ice.

Similar to Alex Kerfoot, Morgan Rielly has been having one of his best years as a Leaf- on pace for 71 points, one shy of his career-high from the 2018-19 season. He’s a player that has been through a lot with the organization, experiencing the full rebuild and most recently signing a lengthy extension that will see him at Scotiabank Arena for the next seven years.

Source: Evolve Hockey

The Leafs defensive situation has been through a lot through the first half of the season- losing players to injury and COVID protocols on a regular basis. The overall lack of defensive depth in the organization has led Sheldon Keefe to rely heavily on veterans such as TJ Brodie, Rielly and Muzzin.

Rielly is seeing career highs in ice time and has been averaging upwards of 24 minutes a night. If rumours of GM Kyle Dubas shopping around for a depth defenseman are sound, some pressure may be taken off Rielly during the playoffs. The addition of TJ Brodie has allowed him a lot more freedom to take chances offensively- which puts him in the top 96th percentile of the league for offensive production.

Looking Ahead

Source: Claus Andersen, Getty Images

With the trade deadline around the corner and the Leafs in a buying position, there are a few of areas that could use some strengthening to make them a harder team to play against come April. Kyle Dubas has already come out and said that the team has the potential to be aggressive at the deadline to address their weak spots.

A lack of defensive depth by way of the many injuries the team has experienced is a part of this. When healthy, this defense core can be relied upon to close out games and win playoff series’ more so now than in the last three-to-four years. However, as we have seen with the most recent injury to Jake Muzzin, losing one key player put lots of additional strain on the top pairing which would not be sustainable throughout multiple playoff series.

Entering a playoff series having two of the three, Dermott, Liljergren or Holl would be less than ideal- even though they have been adequate up to this point in the year. Potential liability for two-to-three mistakes each night could be costly in a playoff setting where the margin for error becomes far smaller.

This Leafs team has the most potential to make a run in the playoffs than any other team in the era of Auston Matthews, however, given the strength of the Atlantic Division, finishing out of the top spot all but guarantees a tough first-round series.

Credit: Perry Nelson, USA Today

Everything seems to be working at the moment with the powerplay toping the NHL, balanced point production across all four lines, and solid defensive play. The x-factor heading down the stretch will be the goaltending tandem of Campbell and Petr Mrazek and whether or not they will be able to play well when it matters most.

The strengthening of the defense core is certain to go a long way as well, helping limit a barrage of shots on goal the Leafs have struggled with in the playoffs since Frederik Andersen minded the net against the Bruins. Campbell has already proved what he's capable of, among a handful of the league’s best in both save percentage and GAA. The netminder has earned the trust towards the idea that, with the offensive production he has been getting and a much-improved D-core, he can lead the Leafs on a run in the playoffs.

With this in mind, the importance of coming first in the Atlantic Division is more important for the Leafs this season than any of the last four. Drawing a wild-card team opponent allows them a chance to build up some momentum before facing powerhouses in the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers. While the Leafs can certainly go toe-to-toe with these two teams, seeing either one later rather than earlier is far more ideal.

As mentioned, it will be the second line that will be the most important down the stretch and into the playoffs. Both wingers, Kerfoot and Nylander, on that line, are having career years with Tavares in between them providing offensive support. Every year seems like we get closer and closer to a series win and fall short in the series decider. If the Leafs can’t finally complete the task this year, it’d be hard-pressed to find formula that gets them there.

Data from Evolve-Hockey, Capfriendly, and Spotrac

Featured Image: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports